Intelligence•Jan 17, 2026•6 min read
AI commentary: why model confidence tightened
Consensus scores contracted as cross-asset dispersion rose. Here is what changed and how the model responds.
aimodelsconfidence
What changed
Cross-asset dispersion widened while short-term volatility clustered. This combination historically reduces follow-through.
Why it matters for allocation
When dispersion rises, single-asset signals lose reliability. Portfolio risk should tighten even if one asset looks strong.
What the model does
Consensus thresholds rise, reducing the number of signals released. Confidence scores stay compressed until dispersion normalizes.
What to do next
Review current signal confidence and risk regime flags in the dashboard before sizing new exposure.
Meridian Quant Research
Research